Your forecast specialists
hpo forecasting gives you an insight into the future course of your business. The specialists at hpo forecasting create company-specific predictions for the incoming orders of industrial enterprises. The forecasts of hpo forecasting are based on the Peter Meier Forecasting Model, a scientifically sound and empirically tested model for predicting the incoming orders of industrial companies (capital goods and consumer durables).
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Forecasting Model
The hpo forecasts are based on the Peter Meier Forecasting Model, a scientifically founded and empirically proven model for predicting the order intake of industrial companies (capital goods and consumer durables).
The Peter Meier Forecasting Model was developed by Peter Meier, ETH plant engineer and former Managing Director of Starrag ag. He has been working intensively in economic research for twenty years and, among other things, correctly predicted the last three major crises (dot-com bubble in 2001, financial crisis in 2008 and the actual crisis 2019/2020) at an early stage. He continues to act as an advisor for hpo forecasting.
The basics of the mathematical forecasting approach are transparently described in Peter Meier's book "The Economy as an Oscillating System" (Hanser Verlag, 2019).
The book explains how economic forecasts are possible for individual industries and companies. In addition to many examples and graphics, the book also offers concrete practical tips as well as an insight into typical business cycle patterns of individual industries.
Why hpo forecasting
hpo forecasting predicts the order intake of industrial companies. The forecast model is based on the key insight that business activity behaves like an oscillating system as seen, for example, in mechanical engineering. This makes it possible to predict the general economic situation and the development of incoming orders in individual sectors and even of individual companies with astonishing precision.
