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What comes after
the storm?

Foresight thanks to our economic forecasts

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Your forecast specialists

hpo forecasting gives you an insight into the future course of your business. The specialists at hpo forecasting create company-specific predictions for the incoming orders of industrial enterprises. The forecasts of hpo forecasting are based on the Peter Meier Forecasting Model, a scientifically sound and empirically tested model for predicting the incoming orders of industrial companies (capital goods and consumer durables).

Current topics

Consumption growth has declined sharply following a brief recovery after the lockdown

Consumption growth has declined sharply following a brief recovery after the lockdown

hpo economic commentary of 19th November 2020
High retail sales in summer thanks to catch-up effects.
read more here!
Consumption is recovering rapidly, but the crisis is not yet over

Consumption is recovering rapidly,but the crisis is not yet over

hpo economic commentary of 20th August 2020
Weak demand for durable consumer goods with devastating consequencesfor the capital goods industry.
read more here!
The COVID-19 decline is severe, but the long-term forecasts by hpo remain unchanged

The COVID-19 decline is severe, but thelong-term forecasts by hpo remain unchanged

hpo economic commentary of 20th May 2020
The long-term real economic cycles show a negative development.
read more here!

Testimonials

Hans Hess

Hans Hess

President, Swissmem

“The forecasts provide good quality trend indications. They are often and willingly incorporated by our member companies as important building blocks in their own forecasts.”
Dr. Ing. Mathias Kammüller

Dr. Ing. Mathias Kammüller

Managing Partner, Trumpf

“Trumpf has been relying on the Peter Meier Forecasting Model for more than a decade, and we’re always surprised at how accurate the forecasts of our business performance are.”
Stephan Nell

Stephan Nell

CEO, United Grinding

“Peter Meier's forecast model identified the 2008 crisis at an early stage. The measures taken on the basis of this helped us to prepare ourselves in good time and to benefit fully from the subsequent upturn.”
Jean-Pascal Bobst

Jean-Pascal Bobst

Managing Director, Bobst Group SA

"hpo forecasting has so far been able to accurately predict the major fluctuations in Bobst's order intake. The differentiated evaluation according to product groups is particularly helpful in this respect. "
Bernd Hilgarth

Bernd Hilgarth

Sales Director, CHIRON-WERKE GmbH & Co. KG

“As early as 2017, the forecast model of hpo forecasting for the German machine tools demand showed a sharp decline from 2019. Accordingly, we were able to adjust to this situation early on.”

Benjamin Mayer

Benjamin Mayer

Managing Director , Mayer & Cie. GmbH & Co. KG

"The textile machinery industry usually reacts very early and strongly to economic changes. Accordingly, the reliable forecasts of hpo forecasting are for us a valuable building block for the future orientation of our company".

Forecasting Model

The hpo forecasts are based on the Peter Meier Forecasting Model, a scientifically founded and empirically proven model for predicting the order intake of industrial companies (capital goods and consumer durables).


The Peter Meier Forecasting Model was developed by Peter Meier, ETH plant engineer and former Managing Director of Starrag ag. He has been working intensively in economic research for twenty years and, among other things, correctly predicted the last three major crises (dot-com bubble in 2001, financial crisis in 2008 and the actual crisis 2019/2020) at an early stage. He continues to act as an advisor for hpo forecasting.

Why hpo forecasting

hpo forecasting predicts the order intake of industrial companies. The forecast model is based on the key insight that business activity behaves like an oscillating system as seen, for example, in mechanical engineering. This makes it possible to predict the general economic situation and the development of incoming orders in individual sectors and even of individual companies with astonishing precision.

Forecasting benefits

What are the advantages of our forecasts?


  • Simple
  • Company specific
  • Scientific
  • Empirical
  • Quarterly
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Value proposition

What are the benefits for your company?


  • Increased planning security
  • Independent second opinion on your company’s order estimates
  • Sector specific benchmark
  • Regular exchange
further info
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We look forward to hearing from you

Our specialists at hpo forecasting have a deep understanding of macroeconomic relationships and in-depth knowledge of the industries in which their clients operate.

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